Hawaii vs New Mexico State 11/27/2010

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Hawaii is a heavy favorite winning 88% of simulations over New Mexico State. Bryant Moniz is averaging 402 passing yards and 3.37 TDs per simulation and Alex Green is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 72% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 12% of simulations where New Mexico State wins, Matt Christian averages 1.39 TD passes vs 0.73 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.64 TDs to 0.96 interceptions. Seth Smith averages 52 rushing yards and 0.52 rushing TDs when New Mexico State wins and 47 yards and 0.28 TDs in losses. Hawaii has a 50% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMXST +26.5

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